AC Milan v Inter Milan Preview: New boss to taste derby defeat
In a weekend of exceptional games around Europe, one of the finest spectacles could be saved for last as the two Milan clubs go head-to-head at the San Siro on Sunday night.
AC Milan are the nominal home side here but this game is essentially neutral ground given that both sides play their home games in front of the 80,000 strong crowd but the bookmakers actually make Vincenzo Montella’s side marginal outsiders for the Derby di Milano.
Coral go 7/4 (2.75) that AC for the win, a side flying high in the Serie A table coming into this weekend, get the better of their bitter rivals while it’s 13/8 (2.63) on Inter and the draw is priced at 11/5 (3.20) by the same firm.
Inter have had their fair share of problems already this season. Manager Frank De Boer was sacked – supposedly by phone – following a dismal start to the domestic campaign as well as an underwhelming set of Europa League performances. Add to that the fact that Mauro Icardi’s recent book enraged some of the more hardened sections of the club’s support and it’s certainly no easy job for new boss Stefano Pioli.
In Serie A Inter have lost four of their last six matches including defeats to Sampdoria, Atalanta and Cagliari so while a new manager bounce could be forthcoming, Piolo certainly looks to have his work cut out to turn the club’s fortunes around.
Given the contrasting starts to the campaign it’s surprising to see Milan as the outsiders in this one. One factor could be their youthful squad and how they cope with a fiery derby atmosphere but they certainly make some appeal from a betting point of view.
The 7/4 (2.75) on the outright win is tempting but for more conservative punters, take a chance of the 19/20 (1.95) on the “home” side in the Draw No Bet market. This will see stakes returned if the match finishes all square while still providing modest returns if the slight outsiders manage to continue a run of form which has seen them pick up maximum points in four of their last five league matches.
Inter were on the wrong end of a 3-0 scoreline in the last league meeting between these two teams back in January but prior to that the recent history suggests this game could be a tight, low-scoring affair. The previous nine meetings (including friendlies) before that win earlier this year produced just 10 goals in total with no game seeing more than two.
Both teams to score this time around is 4/5 (1.80) with under 2.5 goals at 8/11 (1.73) at Coral. Another game featuring no more than one goal is priced at 11/5 (3.20) and that will appeal to those who believe the history of cagey games could continue but an outright punt on AC Milan looks the way to go in terms of a best bet at the San Siro.